Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.271738 1.433102 1.609359 1.816545 2.053888 2.317822 2.634303
2026-01-25 1.016816 1.227834 1.476694 1.793286 2.187366 2.664380 3.289491
2026-02-01 0.823079 1.049461 1.333174 1.717815 2.230217 2.895658 3.835586
2026-02-08 0.694217 0.925927 1.231395 1.668359 2.285172 3.136441 4.420624
2026-02-15 0.601821 0.834115 1.153934 1.633193 2.344898 3.381473 5.040276
2026-02-22 0.554639 0.796357 1.142764 1.684873 2.529293 3.823820 6.016595
2026-03-01 0.506993 0.750828 1.112821 1.701554 2.658667 4.195523 6.937670
2026-03-08 0.454705 0.691656 1.054369 1.664473 2.694431 4.417770 7.639593
2026-03-15 0.409631 0.638358 0.998353 1.622804 2.714185 4.611360 8.316579
2026-03-22 0.393340 0.628726 1.010196 1.693813 2.933620 5.179058 9.777303
2026-03-29 0.374895 0.613365 1.010384 1.743684 3.120311 5.711632 11.262484
2026-04-05 0.356589 0.596212 1.005321 1.782717 3.290595 6.235318 12.822300
2026-04-12 0.335205 0.572929 0.989322 1.803897 3.437960 6.753225 14.512956
2026-04-19 0.308829 0.538438 0.950054 1.776884 3.487479 7.082405 15.859507
2026-04-26 0.278779 0.494520 0.889179 1.700568 3.425487 7.165592 16.648649
2026-05-03 0.255414 0.460865 0.844294 1.650991 3.413155 7.355905 17.742571
2026-05-10 0.236235 0.433384 0.808566 1.615949 3.427412 7.608508 19.051775
2026-05-17 0.228437 0.427044 0.813488 1.666895 3.641456 8.366178 21.887087
2026-05-24 0.217620 0.413761 0.803119 1.683322 3.777742 8.957447 24.404300
2026-05-31 0.202576 0.390715 0.770586 1.646660 3.781920 9.215088 26.008888
2026-06-07 0.188469 0.368438 0.737677 1.605477 3.769410 9.427377 27.529745
2026-06-14 0.185244 0.368412 0.751988 1.675635 4.047717 10.472956 31.979773
2026-06-21 0.180351 0.364426 0.757284 1.724907 4.279445 11.433142 36.428801